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NEW STUDY FINDS GREATER GREENHOUSE GAS REDUCTIONS FOR PICKUP TRUCK ELECTRIFICATION THAN FOR OTHER LIGHT-DUTY VEHICLES

Ford F-150 Lightning Study Finds Greater Greenhouse Gas Reductions For EV Pickup Trucks Than Light-Duty Vehicles 2022-ford-f-150-lightning-cold-weather-testing-in-alaska_100831031



Press Release Source: https://media.ford.com/content/ford...greenhouse-gas-reductions-for-pickup-tru.html
  • A University of Michigan and Ford Motor Company study evaluates the reductions in greenhouse gas emissions relative to gasoline-powered pickup trucks as part of the decarbonization of the transportation industry.
  • Sedan, SUV, and pickup truck battery-electric vehicles have approximately 64% lower cradle-to-grave life cycle greenhouse gas emissions than internal-combustion-engine vehicles on average across the United States.
  • Replacing an internal-combustion-engine pickup with a battery-electric pickup results in a reduction of 74 metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent over the lifetime of the vehicle on average.
  • While battery-electric vehicles currently have larger greenhouse gas emissions in their manufacturing than internal-combustion-engine vehicles, due to battery production, this impact is offset by savings in their operation.
ANN ARBOR, Mich., March 4, 2022 —Major automotive manufacturers are ramping up the production of electric trucks as a key strategy to reduce the greenhouse gas emissions of their fleets. Light-duty vehicles, including sedans, SUVs, and pickup trucks, are currently responsible for 58% of U.S. transportation sector emissions. Pickup trucks accounted for 14% of light-duty vehicle sales in the United States in 2020, and the market share of both pickups and SUVs has grown in recent years.

But what does pickup truck electrification mean for the decarbonization of the transportation industry?

University of Michigan and Ford Motor Company researchers addressed this question in a new study and evaluated the savings in greenhouse gas emissions relative to gasoline-powered pickup trucks.

Researchers found that light-duty, battery-electric vehicles have approximately 64% lower cradle-to-grave life cycle greenhouse gas emissions than internal-combustion-engine vehicles on average across the United States.

“This is an important study to inform and encourage climate action. Our research clearly shows substantial greenhouse gas emission reductions that can be achieved from transitioning to electrified powertrains across all vehicle classes,” said study senior author Greg Keoleian, a professor at the U-M School for Environment and Sustainability and director of the U-M Center for Sustainable Systems.

“This study can help us to understand the potential impact of electrification from an emissions-reduction perspective, particularly as we introduce new electric vehicles, and how we can continue to accelerate our progress towards carbon neutrality. We’re proud to partner with U-M in this critical work,” said Cynthia Williams, global director of sustainability, homologation and compliance at Ford.

In the study, researchers conducted a cradle-to-grave life cycle assessment of pickup trucks and compared the implications of pickup truck electrification to those of sedan and SUV electrification.

With a focus on evaluating greenhouse gas emissions, researchers looked at three different model year 2020 powertrain options—internal-combustion-engine vehicles, hybrid-electric vehicles, and battery-electric vehicles—for midsize sedans, midsize SUVs, and full-size pickup trucks, accounting for differences in fuel economy, annual mileage, vehicle production, and vehicle lifetime across vehicle classes.

“This study expands upon previous studies that have focused on comparing battery-electric vehicle sedans to their internal-combustion-engine or hybrid counterparts,” said Keoleian. “We report emissions for vehicle production, use, and end-of-life stages on a per-mile basis and over the total vehicle lifetime. In addition, we analyzed the regional variation in emissions considering differences in electricity grid mixes and ambient temperatures, and we also explored the effects of the rate of grid decarbonization on emission reduction.”

The study offers key findings. Researchers, for instance, found that switching an internal-combustion-engine vehicle to a battery-electric vehicle results in greater total tonnage of emissions reductions as the vehicle size increases, due to the greater fuel consumption of larger vehicles. “Though the percentage savings is approximately the same across vehicle classes, on average replacing an internal-combustion-engine sedan with a battery-electric sedan saves 45 metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent, replacing an internal-combustion-engine SUV with a battery-electric SUV saves 56 metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent, and replacing an internal-combustion-engine pickup with a battery-electric pickup saves 74 metric tons carbon dioxide equivalent over the lifetime of the vehicles,” said study first author and Center for Sustainable Systems Research Specialist Max Woody.

The researchers also found that battery-electric vehicles have larger greenhouse gas emissions in their manufacturing than internal-combustion-engine vehicles, due to battery production, but this impact is offset by savings in their operation. For battery-electric vehicles and internal-combustion-engine vehicles, the breakeven time is 1.2 to 1.3 years for sedans, 1.4 to 1.6 years for SUVs, and 1.3 years for pickup trucks, based on the average U.S. grid and vehicle miles traveled.

Vehicle emissions vary across the country, as different temperatures and different drive cycles affect a vehicle’s fuel economy. For electric vehicles, the emissions intensity of the local electricity grid is also an important factor. The study developed maps to show the lifetime grams of carbon dioxide equivalent/mile for each powertrain (internal-combustion-engine vehicles, hybrid vehicles, and battery-electric vehicles) and vehicle type (sedan, SUV, and pickup truck) by county across the United States. Researchers found that concerns about battery-electric vehicles having higher emissions than internal-combustion-engine vehicles or hybrids are largely unfounded, as battery-electric vehicles outperform hybrids in 95% to 96% of counties, while battery-electric vehicles outperform internal-combustion-engine vehicles in 98% to 99% of counties, even assuming only modest progress towards grid decarbonization.

Charging strategies can further reduce battery-electric vehicle greenhouse gas emissions. The study found that charging during the hours of the day with the lowest grid emissions intensity can reduce emissions by 11% on average. “Deployment of electric vehicles and expansion of renewable energy resources like solar and wind should be done at the same time; the benefit of each is increased by the development of the other,” said Woody.

The study, “The role of pickup truck electrification in the decarbonization of light-duty vehicles,” was published online March 1 in the journal Environmental Research Letters.

The other authors of the study are Parth Vaishnav of the U-M School for Environment and Sustainability and Center for Sustainable Systems and Robert De Kleine, Hyung Chul Kim, James E. Anderson, and Timothy J. Wallington of Ford Motor Company’s Research and Innovation Center.

This study was supported by Ford Motor Company through a Ford-University of Michigan Alliance Project Award.
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Nick Gerteis

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Seems logical. Gas engines waste 80% of energy input on inefficiencies, so the larger the engine/vehicle, the more pronounced the efficiency gains of going electric will be. Glad to see Ford acknowledging this, and slowly getting ready to announce an end to gas engine development and, eventually, production. Efficiency will always win.
 

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Would be interested to see the total impact of ICE vs EV, like what happens to both after the life of each, the parts that are/ aren’t recyclable and the impact of recycling for both.
 

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Would be interested to see the total impact of ICE vs EV, like what happens to both after the life of each, the parts that are/ aren’t recyclable and the impact of recycling for both.
In greenhouse gas and carbon emissions? It isn't even remotely close. Also, the benefit of EVs is that you can make them more "clean" at the grid level by changing the source of electricity to low carbon. A gas burner will always be a gas burner, so the emissions are fairly set in stone. If your utility company uses 10% more low carbon sources next year then the carbon emissions from your EV reduce 10%. Considering that there is a long term shift to renewables, and carbon sequestration technology will become more mainstream soon, all EVs will benefit by having continually decreasing lifecycle emissions.

Of course, if you have sufficient solar on your house then your operating emissions are zero. Not much of a comparison at that point.
 

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In greenhouse gas and carbon emissions? It isn't even remotely close. Also, the benefit of EVs is that you can make them more "clean" at the grid level by changing the source of electricity to low carbon. A gas burner will always be a gas burner, so the emissions are fairly set in stone. If your utility company uses 10% more low carbon sources next year then the carbon emissions from your EV reduce 10%. Considering that there is a long term shift to renewables, and carbon sequestration technology will become more mainstream soon, all EVs will benefit by having continually decreasing lifecycle emissions.

Of course, if you have sufficient solar on your house then your operating emissions are zero. Not much of a comparison at that point.
I am referring to the entire picture, from the building of each vehicle to its eventual tear down and recycle, especially given that EV batteries are very difficult to recycle and contain many toxins that we don’t know how to deal with yet. Would just be interesting to see a study done on the much bigger scale of the 2 options.
 

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I am referring to the entire picture, from the building of each vehicle to its eventual tear down and recycle, especially given that EV batteries are very difficult to recycle and contain many toxins that we don’t know how to deal with yet. Would just be interesting to see a study done on the much bigger scale of the 2 options.
The studies have already been done and it looks bad for ICE vehicles even considering that power generation is mostly fossil fuel based today.
 

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The studies have already been done and it looks bad for ICE vehicles even considering that power generation is mostly fossil fuel based today.
Which studies? I’ve seen a few compare the drive trains and output but not ones that compare them thoroughly to that extent.
 

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This morning I compared Wh/mi for Rivian, VW Buzz ID, F150, Lucid Air, and Model S. The first three are VERY close (I know we don't have great numbers yet), which makes the F150 more impressive because the gasoline equivalent would be the least efficient. Not surprisingly, Lucid Air and Model S are quite a bit better than pickup or a box shaped van.
 

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Thank you for linking this. It was definitely interesting to read. I didn’t see this study touch on recyclability of both types tho, which is what I was wondering about. Like how much of my truck can be recycled vs a lighting for example and impacts of materials that can’t be recycled. Almost 70% less emissions during the use of the truck does sound nice tho ????
 

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This morning I compared Wh/mi for Rivian, VW Buzz ID, F150, Lucid Air, and Model S. The first three are VERY close (I know we don't have great numbers yet), which makes the F150 more impressive because the gasoline equivalent would be the least efficient. Not surprisingly, Lucid Air and Model S are quite a bit better than pickup or a box shaped van.
The Air and Model S have extremely low drag coefficients. I think i heard that the Air has the lowest coefficient of any production car. The Air must have some other trickery going on as well. It’s significantly more efficient than the MS.
 

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Right to repair can't be overlooked in helping the environmental impact of products. Motor vehicles have historically been good in that regard but in recent years they are becoming harder to repair, with some manufacturers having trouble servicing their own vehicles, even while still under warranty.

Mercedes used to have an excellent reputation for longevity and quality but their newer vehicles have resale values almost as bad or worse than BMW. While corporate fuel economy and chasing that last MPG can be blamed for some of the decline, most of it is because people still buy their products and they JDGAF.

Many people don't want to hear this but I guarantee that there will be legislation limiting BEV horse power and creating arbitrary MPGE standards regardless of where the electricity is coming from. Especially in places where the electric grid is already strained, elected officials and power companies will look for a scapegoat for their failings and blame 'overpowered and overweight luxury BEVs' and try and legislate everyone into shitboxes or mass transit.
 

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Thank you for linking this. It was definitely interesting to read. I didn’t see this study touch on recyclability of both types tho, which is what I was wondering about. Like how much of my truck can be recycled vs a lighting for example and impacts of materials that can’t be recycled. Almost 70% less emissions during the use of the truck does sound nice tho ????
We're not quite there yet, but most major EV makers are striving for 100% recyclability of their batteries within a few years.

" The aim is to create a closed-loop system that will ultimately help reduce the cost of batteries and offset the need for mining. "

https://techcrunch.com/2022/02/17/f...e-ev-battery-recycling-program-in-california/
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