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Here is what the OP link presents.

And chips supply?

In lieu of any credible information, that’s what we have to believe in.

And that’s why sources of information must be confirmed. Otherwise it is just etherweb rumor.

Well, that's what I was trying to find out! My understanding is that reservation number (10910950) and reservation date (5/23/21) have nothing to do with dealer allocations.

I'm with you on that, Robot. Glad that I put reservation deposits down on R1T, Nikola Badger, GMC Hummer PU, and Lightning on the day I learned about each. I really didn't care which back then: only whomever can put one in my driveway first gets my money. With F-150 i the game my opinion has...

From today, 12/9/21. I was not aware of any credible numbers prior.

I should have mentioned that my conversation was about “retail” orders. As for expectations, I am not privvy to any information that would have enabled ANY credible number.

I just got off the phone with the largest volume Ford dealer in my PNW region. The sales manager provided a production number for MY22 F-150 Lightning. A number I had not heard previously. Are you sitting down? Fur the entire USA the number is 16,000. As Mr. Omagi said, "patience Grasshopper".

Then again, Rivian ain’t FoMoCo.

I was a poor kid in 1960. But I always “put my money where my mouth is”. Here I am 60 years later. I wish the same for those who will chase it.

Welp, GMC is running the HUMMER EV assembly line. I have a reservation for one of those as well. I’ve said from the beginning, Tesla, Nikola, GM, Ford, Rivian, WHOMEVER can put that 300+ mile range pick up in my driveway first gets my money.

Well, Tesla has received $4.9 Billion in tax credits, subsidies, and EV sale credits. So, yeah, let’s equalize that for ALL EV manufacturers.

Ahh, 416 was a typo I didn’t catch. Thanks. Sketchy was that the date I entered my info on this site was (is?) depicted as my order date. Doesn’t make any difference as my dealer apparently knows less about the vehicle than I do. Thanks again.

Two weeks ago I was #416 on this list. Now, I’m not even on it. It’s pretty sketchy.

Yeah. Been mentioned before. Crickets.

Here again, “ Speculation” is the buzzword. Add in some Political non-speak, and we have even less to go on. Please wake me up when I can write the check. Sincerely, Rip Van Winkle

Exactly my experience?