• Welcome to F150Lightningforum.com everyone!

    If you're joining us from F150gen14.com, then you may already have an account here!

    If you were registered on F150gen14.com as of April 16, 2022 or earlier, then you can simply login here with the same username and password!

Sponsored

Administrator

Administrator
Staff member
Joined
Dec 22, 2019
Threads
307
Messages
1,139
Reaction score
1,407
Location
Purple State
Vehicles
F-150
Occupation
Admin
Jim Farley said the F-150 Lightning is sold out for 2-3 years and Ford has stopped taking reservations at 200,000 units.

Sponsored

 

p52Ranch

Well-known member
First Name
Bryan
Joined
Aug 5, 2021
Threads
19
Messages
732
Reaction score
1,189
Location
OK
Vehicles
XLT Lightning, Badlands 7MT, New Holland 4030
Reading between the lines. Ford only anticipates building about 200,000 units of this generation Lightning. Or, if they only expect a 47% reservation to order conversion, 100,000 units.
 

thevofl

Well-known member
First Name
Rob
Joined
May 25, 2021
Threads
1
Messages
142
Reaction score
45
Location
Hayward CA
Vehicles
2021 Antimatter Blue F-150 Platinum
Occupation
Math
Well, I'm half way on the list. So I should get it... next year?
 

beatle

Well-known member
Joined
Jun 1, 2021
Threads
23
Messages
885
Reaction score
986
Location
Springfield, VA
Vehicles
Model S, Ridgeline, Miata, motorcycle(s)
I guess doubling and redoubling production capacity doesn't mean a whole lot if you start with such small numbers. If they only make 15k this year (7 months) and 25k next year (12 months) another redoubling will only get them to 50k the following year. That's 100k which is about on par with the 47% conversion rate. I'm guessing the rate will be even less. Some will wait another year, but I'm guessing a lot won't wait two.
 

Sponsored

Yellow Buddy

Well-known member
Joined
Feb 5, 2022
Threads
21
Messages
2,196
Reaction score
2,794
Location
Mid-Atlantic
Vehicles
F-150L Pro, Rivian R1T, Model S, Model X
Occupation
Smart Ass
Reading between the lines. Ford only anticipates building about 200,000 units of this generation Lightning. Or, if they only expect a 47% reservation to order conversion, 100,000 units.
Or worse. The 47% is the actual. What if they only expected a 20% reservation to order conversion rate? That's 40,000 units.
 

Mr. Flibble

Well-known member
First Name
George
Joined
Dec 15, 2021
Threads
42
Messages
430
Reaction score
497
Location
Seattle Suburbs
Vehicles
1995 Delica L400, Kia Soul EV, Jeep Diesel
Occupation
Computer Nerd
I’m happy to wait for the next generation of battery technology anyway.
I am ok with the current generation of batteries.... Well... sort of. I will explain below. I expect the next gen to be iron based, which is cheaper, and lasts longer, but can't output as much power as fast.

The two things I would like to see changed in the Lightning (and hope they are for 2023?) is an 800v battery - this is really the same as the current 400v battery, just a different way of using the same underlying battery type.

This would allow for considerably faster charging at DCFC locations. Though, at the cost of additional heat, possibly battery degradation.

I would also like to see a heat pump like Tesla uses, not the method that the Mach-E uses, which has a heat pump for the battery and AC, but not for actual heating.*

I would like to see resistive heating be an additional option to the heat pump for cold climates. (The Tesla Heat Pumps can freeze up in cold climates).
 

Yellow Buddy

Well-known member
Joined
Feb 5, 2022
Threads
21
Messages
2,196
Reaction score
2,794
Location
Mid-Atlantic
Vehicles
F-150L Pro, Rivian R1T, Model S, Model X
Occupation
Smart Ass
I am ok with the current generation of batteries.... Well... sort of. I will explain below. I expect the next gen to be iron based, which is cheaper, and lasts longer, but can't output as much power as fast.

The two things I would like to see changed in the Lightning (and hope they are for 2023?) is an 800v battery - this is really the same as the current 400v battery, just a different way of using the same underlying battery type.

This would allow for considerably faster charging at DCFC locations. Though, at the cost of additional heat, possibly battery degradation.

I would also like to see a heat pump like Tesla uses, not the method that the Mach-E uses, which has a heat pump for the battery and AC, but not for actual heating.*

I would like to see resistive heating be an additional option to the heat pump for cold climates. (The Tesla Heat Pumps can freeze up in cold climates).
Having owned a Tesla with and without a heat pump (as well as a house with) The heat pump is better for efficiency, but is only ideal for temperate climates. Not to mention significantly more problematic.

I can live with inefficiency as long as there are enough chargers available and/or capable of recharging at a high rate. .
 

Sponsored

MickeyAO

Well-known member
First Name
Mickey
Joined
Apr 2, 2020
Threads
22
Messages
1,015
Reaction score
1,868
Location
San Antonio Tx
Vehicles
Rapid Red Lightning Lariat ER, Kia EV6 GT-Line AWD
Occupation
Lab Manager of the Energy Storage Technology Center
I am ok with the current generation of batteries.... Well... sort of. I will explain below. I expect the next gen to be iron based, which is cheaper, and lasts longer, but can't output as much power as fast.

The two things I would like to see changed in the Lightning (and hope they are for 2023?) is an 800v battery - this is really the same as the current 400v battery, just a different way of using the same underlying battery type.

This would allow for considerably faster charging at DCFC locations. Though, at the cost of additional heat, possibly battery degradation.

I would also like to see a heat pump like Tesla uses, not the method that the Mach-E uses, which has a heat pump for the battery and AC, but not for actual heating.*

I would like to see resistive heating be an additional option to the heat pump for cold climates. (The Tesla Heat Pumps can freeze up in cold climates).
Wait...you want LFP and 800 V? :ROFLMAO::rolleyes::oops::ROFLMAO:
I guess some will wait for Mr. Fusion before they switch over to EVs! ;)
 

Mr. Flibble

Well-known member
First Name
George
Joined
Dec 15, 2021
Threads
42
Messages
430
Reaction score
497
Location
Seattle Suburbs
Vehicles
1995 Delica L400, Kia Soul EV, Jeep Diesel
Occupation
Computer Nerd
Wait...you want LFP and 800 V? :ROFLMAO::rolleyes::oops::ROFLMAO:
I guess some will wait for Mr. Fusion before they switch over to EVs! ;)
LOL. No.

I want the current batteries in 800v like the Ioniq 5 with 800v charging. Not 800v per battery!
 

Mr. Flibble

Well-known member
First Name
George
Joined
Dec 15, 2021
Threads
42
Messages
430
Reaction score
497
Location
Seattle Suburbs
Vehicles
1995 Delica L400, Kia Soul EV, Jeep Diesel
Occupation
Computer Nerd
Having owned a Tesla with and without a heat pump (as well as a house with) The heat pump is better for efficiency, but is only ideal for temperate climates. Not to mention significantly more problematic.

I can live with inefficiency as long as there are enough chargers available and/or capable of recharging at a high rate. .
Agreed, thats why I was thinking the heat pump plus resistive heating for cold climates.
 

MickeyAO

Well-known member
First Name
Mickey
Joined
Apr 2, 2020
Threads
22
Messages
1,015
Reaction score
1,868
Location
San Antonio Tx
Vehicles
Rapid Red Lightning Lariat ER, Kia EV6 GT-Line AWD
Occupation
Lab Manager of the Energy Storage Technology Center
LOL. No.

I want the current batteries in 800v like the Ioniq 5 with 800v charging. Not 800v per battery!
You need an 800 V battery to have 800 V charging...charging is based on the voltage potential difference to force current into the battery.
 

Mr. Flibble

Well-known member
First Name
George
Joined
Dec 15, 2021
Threads
42
Messages
430
Reaction score
497
Location
Seattle Suburbs
Vehicles
1995 Delica L400, Kia Soul EV, Jeep Diesel
Occupation
Computer Nerd
You need an 800 V battery to have 800 V charging...charging is based on the voltage potential difference to force current into the battery.

I mean, a battery like the Ioniq 5 more or less.
Sponsored

 


 


Top